What impact will the $105 billion of the President’s proposed $447 billion Jobs Bill have on the architecture, engineering and construction (AEC) industry? I am a cyclist so I bike just about everywhere and one thing I always notice is new potholes and changes to the road. There was one particular road that I always travel that gave me quite a shock one day. Now this road had not been the best road, bumpy by bike standards, but passable. To my surprise when I turned down it that morning to find … gravel. The entire road had been tarred and gravelled. When I called the Department of Transportation for my county I was not really surprised to learn that due to budget cuts, they could not afford to fix the road, but did have enough tar and gravel lying around to fix it by 1900 standards.
We are seeing more signs of the United States’ suffering infrastructure more and more on the news every day. The latest headline is the Sherman Minton Bridge between Louisville and New Albany, Indiana that was suddenly closed on September 9th when a crack was found that was significant to the structure’s safety. Massive congestion and delays ensued as the over 80,000 people that travel that bridge daily had to find another way. The structural issues in bridges have had the nation’s attention since the Minnesota bridge collapse in 2007. And with the attention focused on safety of these bridges, we can expect to see more questions and focus on the 69,000 structurally deficient bridges according to a 2010 study by the US Department of Transportation.
But it is not just transportation: The safety of our energy system in the US has come into question and made headlines as well. Following the events at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear reactors in Japan, the question of the US Nuclear power system grabbed headlines as well. Commercial nuclear reactors in the United States were designed and licensed for 40 years. When the first ones were being built in the 1960s and 1970s, it was expected they would be replaced with improved models long before those licenses expired. Half of the nation’s 104 nuclear reactors are over 30 years old, according to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Most of the remaining reactors are at least 20 years old. The short-term answer was to extend the license, but never addressed what was being done to repair, retrofit or rebuilt these aging plants. But focus was quickly replaced with something else until the largest earthquake to hit Virginia in 117 years appeared to exceed what the North Anna nuclear power plant northwest of Richmond was built to sustain. Again the question returned about these aging plants and quickly died down.
It was just not the power source, but the delivery system that has also grabbed headlines over the last few years. In January of 2009, an ice storm had taken out power lines across the Midwest and an estimated 1.3 million homes and businesses were without power for days and some rural places in Kentucky, for example, were without power into February during one of the coldest winters on record for Kentucky. But who can forget the Northeast blackout of 2003 when record high summer temps had put major strain of the power grid as demand for energy to run air conditioning eventually brought everything down. But we did forget and were surprised again during the heat wave of 2011 and news of the straining power grid again with the increase in power usage during another hot summer.
And none of this has been a surprise to the industry over the years. In 2009, the American Society of Civil Engineers gave the United States an infrastructure report card. Needless to say, it wasn’t pretty. To the point that not a single item scored higher than a C+. The report card got a lot of attention when it was released, but again, our attention was diverted elsewhere and no major changes were made.
And here we are in 2011 with a troubling infrastructure and a 9% unemployment rate. So in September, when President Barack Obama went before the nation and talked about a Jobs Plan to not only help some of that troubled infrastructure, but also put many of those construction jobs hit so hard in 2008 back to work. In his speech where he asked Congress to “pass this bill” 17 times, President Obama proposed a $447-billion plan. The plan includes $50 billion in immediate investments for highways, transit, rail and aviation, helping to modernize that “D rated” infrastructure. The plan also calls for a $25 billion investment in school infrastructure that will modernize at least 35,000 public schools. If that school funding sounds familiar, the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, had sizable amounts for school renovations, but the money was dropped from the final measure when Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), objected to a school construction program, delivered disappointment to design and construction firms that specialize in those types of buildings. Also, the plan calls to invest $15 billion in a national effort to put construction workers on the job rehabilitating and refurbishing hundreds of thousands of vacant and foreclosed homes and businesses. Another interesting thing was something that has been called for over the years, the creation of a National Infrastructure Bank capitalized with $10 billion, in order to leverage private and public capital and to invest in a broad range of infrastructure projects of national and regional significance, without earmarks or political influence.
So what could this mean for the AEC industry? Well the plan’s $105 billion for infrastructure includes $50 billion for transportation, $25 billion to upgrade public-school buildings, $5 billion for improvements to community college facilities, $15 billion for repairs and improvements to abandoned or foreclosed housing and commercial buildings, and $10 billion to launch a “National Infrastructure Bank.”
But I think the current political climate is not going to make this such a cut and dry decision, so many of us in the industry wait with anticipation.
Brian LaMee
Director of Product Marketing